For experienced bettors, there must have been a moment when they wondered why bookmakers always win at bookmakers online  This is a tricky question that many bettors have yet to answer, and the main reasons lie with both the bookmakers and the players. If you want to find out the answer to this question, let's consider the following reasons.

Is it because the Bookmakers are Scammers and Always Win?

This is probably the question that arises when bettors are losing. However, you need to remember that bookmakers are also businesses. In order to operate, bookmakers need to be regulated and supervised by reputable authorities. The purpose of this regulation is to ensure that bookmakers operate according to the standards set by the authorities and not engage in any unethical practices. Additionally, bookmakers are merely intermediaries that provide odds for players based on the outcome of games. They are not directly involved in the production of these games. For example, in a soccer match, the bookmaker provides the odds for betting, but they do not organize the match itself. They rely on the results of the match to determine the winners and losers among the players.

These are the reputable bookmakers in the market. However, there are still many fraudulent bookmakers who operate without licenses but manage to appear briefly in the market with the aim of scamming and exploiting players. Although they may disappear suddenly after a short period of time, they are still able to deceive a significant amount of money from some bettors. Therefore, bettors should be cautious and choose a reputable online bookmaker to participate in.

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Bookmakers Use Intelligent Betting Methods:

In a football match, there are many bettors participating. Especially in big matches, some bettors bet on the bookmakers' odds, while others bet against them. The bookmaker acts as an intermediary, collecting money from the losers and paying out to the winners, so they don't lose anything themselves because no one can win 100% of the time. They have to share their profits with the bookmaker. This is why bookmakers always win.

Another reason is that bookmakers usually charge a fee on each winning amount based on the 10-11 method. It means that if you want to win 10 units, you have to risk 11 units. You might win a few times, but in the long run, in order to make a profit, you need a winning rate of 11/21 to break even. This percentage is approximately 52.38%. So, when you bet 11 units, the bookmaker has already taken 1 unit as their commission.

Bookmakers Understand Odds and Probabilities:

Betting involves gambling, and in order to set the bookmakers' odds, they use probability algorithms to ensure that they have a greater advantage. They use various data for this algorithm, such as relevant matches, players on the field, coaches, the playing field, tactics, weather conditions, injuries, etc. Along with football analysts, they calculate the odds.

If we compare the analysis of a match, bettors cannot compete with bookmakers because they have financial resources and connections within the football industry. In fact, in every situation during a match, the bookmakers' system adjusts the odds every second and minute of the game to maximize their advantage.

Bookmakers Exploit the Greed of Human Nature:

This is always the weakest point of gamblers. Whether the players win or lose, they always want to continue playing. Bookmakers always take advantage of this weakness to exploit. They know that those who win can never win forever because the winning probability of players is always lower than the winning probability of the bookmakers. On the other hand, those who lose always want to recover their losses. That's why bookmakers always win. They are smart in exploiting the greed of human nature and benefiting from it.

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Due to the Bias of the Players:

To explain this phenomenon, let's take a simple example of flipping a coin. Suppose you flip a coin 9 times and it lands on heads consecutively. The commonly encountered probability is 50 heads and 50 tails. Therefore, you bet all your money on the 10th flip being tails because the probability of getting heads on the 10th flip is only 0.5^10 (~0.0001). However, in the end, it still lands on heads, and you lose all your money. This is known as the gambler's fallacy or the Monte Carlo fallacy.

Analysis of the Tadamon Sour vs Racing Beirut match.

The 2023 FA Lebanon Cup has undergone changes in its format, with the participation of only 12 teams competing in the country's top division. The participating teams are divided into 4 groups and play a round-robin format to determine the group winners who will advance to the semi-finals.

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Tadamon Sour and Racing Beirut are in Group C along with Al-Ansar. At this point, Al-Ansar has completed their matches and has been eliminated with only 1 win and 1 loss. For Tadamon Sour, their defeat against Al-Ansar means they must defeat Racing Beirut by at least a 2-goal margin to surpass their two opponents and move up to the top of the group standings.

On the other hand, Racing Beirut is currently leading the group and only needs a draw tonight to secure a spot in the semi-finals. This is a completely achievable task, as Racing Beirut is considered superior to Tadamon Sour in terms of strength and recent form.

Asian handicap prediction: The break from competition since the beginning of March has affected the fitness and form of Tadamon Sour players, making them less competitive compared to Racing Beirut, who have been involved in cup matches. Moreover, the head-to-head history strongly favors Racing Beirut, who have won 7 out of their last 8 encounters.

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Prediction: Racing Beirut

Over/under prediction: Tadamon Sour's recent matches have been characterized by open and entertaining gameplay, with 3 out of their last 5 matches having at least 3 goals scored. On the other side, Racing Beirut has seen 4 out of their last 5 matches producing 3 or more goals. The scenario of a goal-filled match has also occurred in 3 out of their last 4 recent meetings.

Prediction: Over

Score prediction: Tadamon Sour 1-2 Racing Beirut

Asian handicap: Choose Racing Beirut

Over/under: Choose Over

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